Object
Local Plan 2040 Draft Plan - Strategy options and draft policies consultation
Representation ID: 7603
Received: 01/09/2021
Respondent: Miss Nicola Tagg
Please refer to my detailed response to 1.25 above.
1.26 100-word summary
The transport model used by AECOM is fundamentally flawed because the model has not been validated / calibrated (particularly with respect to public transport), the National Trip End Model (NTEM) should not be used below district / county level, no uncertainty log has been prepared, it doesn’t include household survey data, and the data has not been adequately tested. Strategic models are not designed for use in a scheme specific assessment. The latter requires a revised forecast model produced from a recalibrated base year model using additional and more recent data with a more specific geographical focus of resources and modelling.